Mercredi 21 juillet 2010 3 21 /07 /Juil /2010 08:22

Motive power battery market is highly competitive core technology of choice

Resource constraints and the reduction in the double pressure driven, clean electric cars alternative fuel vehicle is the gradual development trend of automobile. laptop battery States have introduced the current subsidy policy and long-term planning to support industry growth, industry growth, is expected to average 50%. New energy vehicles are still new in China, is currently in the embryonic stage from scratch, is expected to help accelerate China's policy in industry development and maturity.

New energy vehicles: a number of obstacles need to cross

Start the commercialization of electric vehicles, not only the product itself to overcome the technical and cost issues, also face constraints in many applications. As the electric car is a systematic project, involving the whole community and transport the energy re-optimization, including clean electricity, charging station construction, power grid construction, transportation mode changed, the use habits and many other factors. Therefore, the promotion of new energy vehicles, explosive growth is difficult to occur, but only may be rising in tandem with the gradual popularization of new energy power generation which is stimulated by the rapid expansion of subsidies is somewhat different. TravelMate 4500 Subsidies for new energy car that is the attitude of the Government's support, but can not say conditions are ripe for industrialization.

Power battery: Domestic infancy

Battery electric vehicles as the core technology, currently can not meet the life, security and other goals of the requirements, which greatly limits the application field of electric vehicles. Potential of the iron lithium battery so there is still a consistent, low temperature performance, high power and other issues, the actual performance from the theoretical value quite different. The development of domestic battery is in its infancy. Now have new energy vehicles involved in the field of research and development and supporting businesses are testing the waters phase, technical and technological capabilities in different ways, so the overall investment risk seems greater still.

Lithium battery materials will show a third of the world pattern, modified lithium manganese battery as the more mature material, will be a more promising ternary lithium iron phosphate material and three-legged race. China keen on lithium iron phosphate line, but the accumulation of patents and technology still lag behind U.S., Japan and China, and the actual LCBTP03003 not high, to meet the power requirements Gaoduan Nenggou lithium materials still need to iron imported from abroad.

Cathode material: the value chain point

For the lithium-ion batteries, cathode materials are sharply higher, the cost of the high proportion (33%) of the core link. The lithium iron phosphate power battery and the other part of the same conventional lithium-ion batteries, cathode materials, technical barriers to higher gross profit margin so high-quality products more than 50%, much higher than 15% of lithium cobalt oxide and lithium manganese 25%. Other motive power industrial chain links, the diaphragm can only produce a single layer of low-end domestic product, while the three membrane production technology and equipment to China in a lockdown; electrolyte lithium hexafluorophosphate of raw materials have not yet achieved large-scale localization, gross margins higher; single cells did not realize the scale of production, the current gross margin is also higher, but due to technical barriers are not high, is expected to be a gradual decline.

Generally speaking, Aspire 1300 power battery industry chain are currently entitled to more high-margin areas, but may be the only long-term maintenance lithium iron phosphate cathode material, which determines the production difficulties in short supply situation will last 3 to 5 years. The consistency of the requirements for the next battery manufacturers and automobile manufacturers will tend to choose a large supplier of lithium iron materials market will show strong stronger situation. Technology or process is not dominant in the enterprise, will be squeezed to the outside of the low-end electric car market, and therefore can not share the industry's high growth.

Domestic manufacture of lithium iron phosphate involved in many enterprises, most of the lithium iron phosphate A42-A3 has not understanding, not enough technical accumulation and production experience. Currently has years of experience in the field of battery power much scientific (600 478, closing price 13.30 yuan), Jinrui Technology (600390, closing price 57.46 yuan) and Shanshangufen (600 884, closing price 16.89 yuan) and others were on the lithium iron phosphate adopted a more cautious approach to R & D-based industrial projects without haste, which indirectly shows the lithium iron phosphate on the technical and technological difficulties and immaturity.

Multiple factors determine the power battery and electric car development is not only cost is the bottleneck. Government subsidies and to promote the accelerated development of the industry will, where appropriate, but unlikely to result in explosive growth markets, due to this market is still very small, can accommodate Enterprises Limited, competition will be intense, BTP-APJ1 and performance growing uncertainty great.

Investment targets: a core technology company

According to the mastery of core technology and optimistic about the future level of production the two indexes, the A shares of 25 listed companies value analysis, the proposed investment in the subject of the battery not only has the core technology of choice for mass production but also has the prospect of the company, the proposed concerned about the CAC integration (002 190, closing price 20.19 yuan), China Baoan (000,009, closing price of 9.44 yuan), CITIC Guoan (000 839, closing price 11.08 yuan) BTP-AQJ1 and Jiangsu Guotai (002 091, closing price 23.73 yuan), Fluoride ( 002 407, the closing price 46.90 yuan), when l Technology (300073, closing price 57.46 yuan) and others.

From the stock side, China CITIC Wo Bao as the main industry is the cable television and real estate, low valuation, the valuation of the remaining level of quality stocks are basically reasonable. The battery Desai (000,049, closing price 23.91 yuan), 100 000 000 Wei Li energy (300 014, closing price 29.72 yuan), Sailing shares (600,482 to close at 12.65 yuan) and the Fung Wah Hi-Tech (000636, closing price of 12.30 yuan) higher than the valuation high power battery and do not have the concept of the proposed short-term avoided. Later-stage investment opportunities will mainly come from the policy change and planning put on the plate to bring the good, high-quality stocks of technological progress and production planning, and new entrants into the field of investment targets BTP-ARJ1 battery.

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Mercredi 21 juillet 2010 3 21 /07 /Juil /2010 08:16

Seven wind power base in transmission planning through assessment

Recently, China Power Engineering Consulting Group in Beijing, organized and held the "seven million kilowatts of wind power base in transmission system planning and design," laptop battery the report will be assessed. The meeting focused on wind farm planning, wind power dissolved and market positioning, power transmission program brings together the program, the transmission program accreditation.
According to the national wind power development plan, Hamilton, Jiuquan, Hebei, Jilin, Jiangsu coast, eastern Mongolia, Mengxi seven million kilowatts of wind power base will be built by 2020, planning to build 58.08 million kilowatts by 2015, 2020, 90.17 million kilowatts, accounting for 78% of the total installed capacity of wind power around.

Beijing Economic and Technology Research Institute, State Grid Li Hui briefed reporters: "West Inner Mongolia Wind Power in West Inner Mongolia and the need to 'three Chinese' Network (North China Power Grid, Central China Power Grid and East China Power Grid) Absorptive; Mongolia wind power grid in the Northeast and East China Power Grid Absorptive; Hamilton wind in the Northwest Power and Central China, North China Power Grid Absorptive; Jiuquan wind power in the Northwest China Power Grid and the consumer is satisfied; Hebei wind power in the 'third China' power consumption is satisfied; and Jilin and Jiangsu Power Grid in the region consumptive. "

However, it was estimated that by 2015 wind TravelMate 4000 power base in the seven provinces Absorptive 37.08 million kilowatts, cross-Absorptive 2100 kilowatts; and 2020, the provincial Absorptive 48.54 million kilowatts, cross-Absorptive then rose sharply to 41.63 million kilowatts This required a large number of long-distance transmission line construction can be achieved.

For the outgoing channel of the high investment costs, the National Energy Board may Renewable Neng Yuan, Deputy Division Director Shi Li Shan Ren Wei, in the building on the outgoing channel, should Gaibian full Shougou the idea, to have some of the abandoned Feng program, Shi transmission line more economical.

He said that the current wind power installed capacity of 1 million, most of the time to contribute only 400 000 -50 million kilowatts, while the high-load periods occur only a few times a year, so if the maximum load to design transmission lines, is clearly very economic.

And consumption and the corresponding transmission scheme is peaking capacity. According to the peaking power capacity is forecast to be accepted by 2020,TravelMate 2300 wind power installed capacity of 100 million kilowatts. As the wind is unstable, long-distance power transmission and thermal power or hydropower be bundled. National Grid plans to wind power coal rich area, combined with wind, fire, bundled approach outgoing; and can not be tied to the area and the winter heating can not be peaking for the time, through the construction of pumped storage power plant to solve the peaking problem . Specific objectives are: in 2015 the national grid scale pumped storage power station in operation areas to reach 21 million kilowatts needed, to reach 41 million kilowatts by 2020.

Supervision Department of the State Electricity Regulatory Commission transmission Renyao Hong pointed out that the cost of pumped storage costs or large, if the three north wind power and hydropower complementary Southwest intermodulation, Aspire 1680 will be able to achieve a wider range of consumptive wind energy, but also can enhance the grid Peak FM capability.

 

As of July 15, China's first wind power base of 10 million kilowatts - Jiuquan wind power base of 4 million kilowatts installed capacity of a breakthrough, reaching 4.036 million kilowatts. In accordance with national planning, Jiuquan wind power base end of the year to achieve installed capacity of 5.16 million kilowatts will, 2015 12.71 million kilowatts installed capacity.Aspire 1410 Xinhua News Agency reporters Lian Zhen and Xiang She

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Mardi 20 juillet 2010 2 20 /07 /Juil /2010 08:50

Mining Tibet: lithium expansion will bring long-term growth needs

With many countries and regions to support new energy policy on the introduction of vehicles and implementation of new energy automotive industry laptop battery will pull into the large-scale lithium battery consumption, so as to enhance market demand for lithium carbonate, as in the upstream industrial chain business of lithium resources a long-term growth opportunities. Tibet has the world's third largest mining Zabuye Salt Lake, excellent natural resources, capital bottleneck breakthrough to lithium carbonate production capacity is expected to gradually release the company needs to benefit from this expansion of lithium carbonate, recommended investors to focus.

Rationale:

Li-ion battery industry will enhance the development of market demand for lithium carbonate. In the new energy vehicles, driven by growth in demand for lithium batteries will be the main driver of lithium carbonate.

We expect the global lithium carbonate demand in 2010 increased 10% to 75,598 tonnes, from 2010 to 2013 compound annual growth rate of 16%, from 2013 to 2018 compound annual growth rate of 11%. Market demand for lithium carbonate BTP-550P lithium battery industry play an increasingly important role in stimulating their development needs of lithium carbonate for lithium in the upstream industry chain resources to bring long-term business growth opportunities.

Global lithium industry with a high concentration salt production capacity expansion restrictions. About 53% of the world's lithium resources concentrated in South America, the top three manufacturers of lithium carbonate supply about 70% of global production, industry concentration is high. Since 83% of the lithium stored in the lake, while Salt Lake Lithium larger capacity expansion constraints, resulting in production of major manufacturers expand slowly. Since the distribution of resources and the production of lithium are very focused, self-discipline is strong, the main producers can then adjust the production capacity of lithium carbonate in Xuqiu Liang, expected future prices will remain stable.

China Lake is rich in resources and low cost extraction of lithium, and broad development prospects. Lithium salt lake resources in China accounting for 79%,BTP-73E1 but the extraction of lithium salt production accounted for only 33%. Compared with the extraction of lithium ore, salt extraction of lithium from a cost advantage, but at this stage in our technology is still immature. From international experience, the Lithium is the mainstream production of lithium carbonate, lithium carbonate three foreign suppliers have all been shut down production lines and extraction of lithium from ore by the Lithium method. We expect this will become the future direction of lithium carbonate production. With the domestic Salt Lake Lithium technology matures and production release, increased production of Lithium Salt Lake for expansion.

We like the lithium salt lake resources have manufacturers. The development of lithium battery industry will be the main driver of future growth in demand, so we are optimistic about the upper reaches of lithium carbonate lithium battery industry chain manufacturers, especially in Tibet, which has a salt lake resources, mining and CITIC Guoan. We believe that speaking from the natural resources, mining in Tibet Saline Lake is lithium carbonate type, BATCL50L with a high lithium-poor characteristics of magnesium, is the world's endowment of the best Salt Lake, the optimal minimum cost the same industry, is expected to become the most the potential of lithium carbonate origin.

Valuation and Recommendation:

The company has the world's third largest salt lake Saline and is known as "chrome are" the Luo Busa chromite, copper Nimu company may in future become a major copper mine, the company's resources and conditions are unique, long-term development prospects of attracting force. Benefit from the release of lithium carbonate production capacity as well as copper, chromium ore price increase, we expect EPS to 0.21/0.27/0.34 10/11/12, the company, corresponding to earnings ratio 127/97/77 times; if taking into account the company's non-public After the success of the 6,870 issued shares to increase, then the full amortization of the EPS for the 0.16/0.22/0.27, corresponding to earnings ratio for the 159/122/96. Resource companies value and equity value of only 4%,TravelMate 290 much lower than other resource companies average 35%. We are optimistic about the company's resources and long-term investment value, the first concern for "careful recommended" rating.

Risk: can not be successfully raised funds in place; lithium carbonate demand lower than expected.

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Mardi 20 juillet 2010 2 20 /07 /Juil /2010 08:46

Gallop new energy vehicles in new industry Boulevard

In the low-carbon economy background, the development of new energy vehicles is the general trend. laptop battery Private vehicles in 2010 to buy new energy policy to subsidize the introduction of the pilot opened the floodgates of private consumption subsidies, that the new energy automotive industry in the true sense of the beginning of China's new energy auto industry history a crucial step. Since the July 6 rally, the new energy vehicles live up to expectations, to 7.79 percent of average gains dominate, beating the Shanghai Composite Index 5.24 percent over the same period. New energy vehicles have become the most immediate concern for investors.

According to "Securities Daily" Market Research Center, the latest statistics, as of 16 July, 24 new energy vehicles in stock, there are 17 announced the results notice, of which 50% of net profit more than expected by 9 companies, exceeded disclosure notice to the company's half of the performance; There is also a slight increase of three company performance (an increase of less than 50%), three into the black, a continued surplus, only a pre-cut. Announcements clearly reveals the steady growth of the industry's performance characteristics. In the BTP-52EW lithium battery industry, there are 19 companies to disclose results of notice, the company pre-hi 11, accounting for nearly Liu Cheng.

Stable growth performance, its shares stand firm in the secondary market. WIND IT data show that, as of July 16, the total share capital of the new energy vehicles weighted average price of 14.01 yuan, while all A share average share price was 7.83 yuan; increase from the total market value point of view, since from July 6, new energy vehicles Shares rose 7.79 percent range, while the A shares over the same period rose only 3.03% of total market capitalization; from the valuation point of view, according to the first quarter of this year, financial indicators, the new overall vehicle block the latest energy price-earnings ratio 13.44 times forecast 2010 earnings ratio gradually increases to 15.27 times, all the A shares over the same period was 16.8 times latest earnings ratio, price-earnings ratio of 14.5 times 2010 forecast. And new energy vehicles are closely related to lithium batteries, the total share capital of the weighted average price of 13.07 yuan, on July 6 total market capitalization has increased 6.13%. However, the lithium plate valuation is relatively high, the latest price-earnings ratio is 37.82 times forecast 2010 earnings ratio gradually decreased to 26.6 times.

As can be seen from two sets of data, new energy, the average share price high despite the car plate, but its relatively low valuation, upside is still great; associated with lithium batteries also have a strong share price performance, and future increases space are also high.

States Securities believes that the new energy vehicles have risen to national strategies, sector policy-driven, policy support future large space. Investment in new energy automobile, the proposed focus is in the field of new energy bus leading-edge companies and medium-sized passenger car. Energy production and marketing of new small passenger car business as a whole, the current demonstration of new energy vehicles for urban public transport operators are also the first system,BTP-63D1 the bulk of the new energy order of the relevant bus company's performance is more significant thickening.

For the lithium battery industry, Securities, said China Sea, compared to lead-acid batteries, nickel cadmium batteries, nickel hydrogen batteries secondary batteries, lithium batteries with high energy density, long cycle life, self-discharge rate of small, no memory effect and environmental protection, etc. outstanding advantages. Lithium batteries as the technology advances in people's lives have been widely used, such as portable electronic products, new energy, transportation and energy storage and other fields. The future of electric cars will drive the growth of lithium material over several times. It is estimated that a pure electric vehicle requires 40-50 kg of cathode materials and electrolyte, a single mobile phone battery consumption is about a million times. According to our calculations, only the production of 1 million electric cars lithium-ion batteries needed materials, lithium battery materials will be the world's total demand of the times. Therefore, the promotion will drive electric cars BTP-42C1 lithium-ion battery materials show explosive growth in demand.

In terms of investment, wealth securities recommended more attention to the new energy automotive spare parts, especially lithium batteries upstream and downstream industry chain, such as an apical highlights the scarcity of mineral resources in high demand value of the company, such as Tibet, mining, CITIC Guoan, day Qi Li industry (to be listed); such as technical barriers to higher production of key materials, lithium battery manufacturers, cathode material, electrolyte, separator, etc., such as Shanshangufen,BTP-44A3 China Baoan, Jiangsu Guotai, Fluoride, Fosugufen, Huafang Textile , Starbucks and Technology (to listing).

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Dimanche 18 juillet 2010 7 18 /07 /Juil /2010 08:34

Ministry of Industry and in 2010 the first phase of advanced energy storage power system engineers complete training course held

By the China Communications Industry Association, China Electronic Chamber of Commerce laptop battery Power Professional Committee of the Beijing Power Supply Association jointly organized by the Ministry of Industry and Energy Storage Power Systems Engineer Advanced Course on June 20 to 25 in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology successfully held in Weihai E-Hotel . Power supply from the Mainland provinces and cities, battery manufacturers and test centers and other units of the company executives, R & D director and senior and other officers of the correspondence, tutorials, and face to face, successfully passed the examination to obtain a "power system engineers" and other three countries and certification of industry bodies. The course aims to promote energy storage and power supply systems and technology, energy storage power train professional and technical personnel to update knowledge of energy storage and power supply systems.

Training course held a grand opening ceremony, attended the opening ceremony of the leaders are: Vice president of China Communications Industry Association, Sun Feng, Deputy Secretary-General, National Power Systems Engineer training leading group director of the China Electronic Chamber of Commerce vice president of Power Professional Committee , Beijing Han Yongkuan Power Industry Association, the National Leading Group for Power Systems Engineer training, deputy director of the China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Power Professional Committee Vice Chairman, Beijing Power Supply Association of Supervisory Xibi Yun, Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Deputy Secretary-General the power, the National Li-ion Standard battery system, deputy head of the working group drafting the money good country, professor at Peking University, the National Standard lithium-ion battery system of its deputy head of the working group drafting Lu, associate professor at Tsinghua University, Song Qiang, the Ministry of Industry and Weihai Ruanxi Lun, general manager of electronic hotel. Opening ceremony by the Professional Committee of China Electronic BTP-43D1 Chamber of Commerce Power Secretary-General, Beijing Power Supply Industry Association, Sun Jingwei over.

National Power Systems Engineer training director of the Leading Group for Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce vice president of power supply
Beijing Power Supply Association chairman Han Yongkuan

Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Power Secretary-General, Beijing Power Supply Industry Association, Sun Jingwei

China Communications Industry Association executive vice president, Deputy Secretary-General Feng Sun and Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce vice president of power supply, Beijing Han Yongkuan Power Industry Association, representing the organizers for the opening welcome speech and to mobilize. They said that the current lithium-ion battery energy storage and other new energy and new energy industry is a strategic key industries, but the lack of relevant technical personnel. China Communications Industry Association and the Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce launched a long-term power supply system, the project engineer a series of training programs, held in Weihai first energy storage power systems engineer training, will promote energy storage and power supply systems and technology to train professional technical personnel, updating energy storage and power supply systems play an important role in promoting knowledge.


In the opening ceremony,TravelMate 220 also held China Communications Industry Association, China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Power Professional Training Centre of the opening ceremony of the Commission, the Ministry of Industry and the two associations will be set up for the training of Weihai center of electronic hotel. MIIT Ruanxi Lun, general manager of Weihai electronic hotel association said it would fully cooperate with the training to provide the highest quality hardware and logistics support.

National standards for lithium-ion battery system, deputy director of the drafting group

Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce, Deputy Secretary-General of the money supply good country

After the opening ceremony, Department of Electrical Engineering from Tsinghua University and Peking University Professor Song Qiangfu and Professor Lu for their "energy storage system for electric and electronic power conversion technology and technology" and "lithium battery product technology" of the participants were briefed, and participants answered in the correspondence and work related problems encountered. National standards for lithium-ion battery system, the working group drafting the deputy director of the China Electronic Chamber of Commerce, Deputy Secretary-General of the Commission Dianyuan professional money on good country, "Battery energy storage power systems" relevant knowledge and technical standards for a 3-day comprehensive explanation. Include: battery application technology group, the new battery energy storage power systems, lithium-ion battery power system and other new industry technical standards, the new lithium-ion battery pack and power system interfaces and communication protocols, lithium-ion battery energy storage in electric power system Bicycle \ electric vehicles \ UPS \ communications power supply applications, BTP-58A1 integrated systems and electric vehicle battery energy storage MW power systems of knowledge.

After the training courses, training programs, according to the relevant requirements, the participants were final exams, students pass the examination will receive by the Human Resources and Social Security, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Beijing, China Power Industry Association Working Committee of Experts unified India system of "professional and technical personnel to update their knowledge engineering training certificate", "National Information Engineer Certificate" and "Power Systems Engineer certificate", the three certificates can be used as professional and technical staff positions employed, working, job classification and promotion of an important basis .

The closing ceremony, the former deputy director of the Ministry of Information Industry, China Communication Association, China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Committee Chairman WANG Bing-power Professional Studies, the National Leading Group for Power Systems Engineer training, deputy director of the China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Power Professional Committee of Vice-chairman Beijing Power Supply Association of Supervisory Xibi Yun, Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce Deputy Secretary-General the power, the national standards for lithium-ion battery system, deputy head of the working group drafting the money good country to pass the examination, presented certificates to the trainees.

Consolidated results according to the students, this course has four outstanding students selected were: Power Technology Co., Ltd. Guangdong lion R & D Director Lin Yu, Xiangtan, deputy director of electro-chemical Technology Co., Ltd. Li Fang Liu, Fan Cheng (confidentiality units), BTP-60A1 Beijing Power Source Technology Co., Ltd. Engineer Dan, good money, Vice Secretary-General to the four students were awarded certificates outstanding students.

National Power Systems Engineer training, deputy director of the Leading Group for Professional Committee of China Electronic Chamber of Commerce vice president of power supply
Beijing Power Supply Association Supervisory Xi Biyun
Beijing Power Supply Association of Supervisory Xi Biyun power industry association on behalf of Ministry of Industry and in 2010 the first phase of advanced energy storage power system engineers successfully held the training course and trainees congratulated the successful completion. He pointed out that training for everyone familiar with the energy storage power supply systems, strengthen communication, enhance mutual understanding provides a good opportunity. Meanwhile, to carry out correspondence, face to face training model combining appreciation. Finally, he participated in the meeting face to face De Zhuanjia, professors, You Qi money is good, the Vice Secretary-General of hard work, and Tireless expressed his gratitude and to encourage their students to actively participate Yu storage Dian Yuan's contributions to the studies Chuneng power system contribute to the development.

Participants on behalf of Power Technology Co., Ltd. Guangdong lion R & D Director Lin Yu, Zhicheng Technology Development Co., Ltd. Beijing Aetna Song Xiaolong, general manager of the closing ceremony on behalf of the trainees said he was honored to attend the training courses, distinguished lecturers and professors of the careful explanation and conference team of diligent work to make them through the course of the energy storage power system has a more profound understanding of the various companies hope to play their respective advantages,TravelMate 240 promote the development of energy storage power supply.

After the training, participants visited the Chinese Sino-Japanese War Memorial, the memorial collection of artifacts on display to remind the people to forget national humiliation, rejuvenate the Chinese nation. Participants have said, the training learned to apply the knowledge to practical work, in creating economic and social benefits to the enterprise, but also for the country to implement energy-saving and new energy strategies to achieve the "Created in China" do their own contribution to

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